After Nasrallah, Is Israel Now Eyeing Ayatollah Khamenei?

Hirok
4 min readSep 29, 2024

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The recent developments in the Middle East have brought a wave of speculation regarding Israel’s potential next target in its ongoing conflict with regional adversaries. After the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and Hezbollah’s head Hassan Nasrallah, many are now questioning whether Israel’s sights are set on an even higher-profile figure: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran. This raises important questions about the delicate geopolitical balance in the region and the potential consequences of such a bold move by Israel.

The heightened tensions between Israel and its neighboring adversaries have long been a source of instability in the Middle East. Israel’s recent military actions, which reportedly included the assassination of Nasrallah, have only added fuel to the fire. According to sources within the region, the assassination of Nasrallah has prompted Iran to take extraordinary precautions to safeguard its own leadership. Specifically, Ayatollah Khamenei has been relocated to a secure and undisclosed location within Iran, indicating that Tehran is acutely aware of the threat posed by Israel.

This proactive move by Iran came in the wake of information shared by two regional officials with Reuters. They disclosed that the Supreme Leader was moved to a safe location following Nasrallah’s death, signaling Tehran’s understanding that Israel’s intelligence operations may be targeting Khamenei next. The assassination of Hezbollah’s leader, reportedly carried out with the help of an Iranian spy who leaked Nasrallah’s location to Israeli forces, underscores the extent to which Israel’s intelligence capabilities have penetrated deep into its enemies’ networks. This begs the question: could the same fate await Ayatollah Khamenei?

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel delivered a fiery speech following Nasrallah’s assassination, filled with both triumph and stark warnings. His address, aimed squarely at Iran’s leadership, made it clear that Israel would retaliate against anyone who dared to strike at them. Netanyahu’s statement carried a chilling undertone: “There is no place in Iran or the Middle East where Israel’s long arm cannot reach.” Such direct and unambiguous language has led many to speculate that Khamenei could indeed be Israel’s next target.

In a region where alliances are fragile and enmities deep, the possibility of Israel targeting Khamenei could lead to an unprecedented escalation in hostilities. Iran has already witnessed how the betrayal of one of its own led to Nasrallah’s death. Allegations have surfaced that Iranian intelligence operatives may have played a role in Nasrallah’s assassination by providing sensitive information to Israel, fueling a sense of mistrust within Tehran’s inner circles. According to reports, Nasrallah was killed in an Israeli airstrike shortly after entering Hezbollah’s underground headquarters in Beirut. The timing of the airstrike suggests that Israeli forces had precise information about Nasrallah’s whereabouts, likely obtained through covert channels.

The French media outlet Le Parisien reported that Nasrallah’s location was revealed to Israel by an Iranian spy just hours before the strike. This betrayal ultimately led to the use of bunker-buster missiles, which obliterated Hezbollah’s headquarters and killed Nasrallah. This incident highlights the effectiveness of Israel’s intelligence operations, particularly its ability to recruit spies within the ranks of its enemies. According to the New York Times, Israel has significantly ramped up its intelligence efforts against Hezbollah in recent years, and much of its success can be attributed to these clandestine activities.

The thought of Israel targeting Ayatollah Khamenei raises complex questions about the future of the region. Khamenei is not just a political leader but also a religious figure of immense importance in the Shiite world. His assassination would almost certainly provoke a strong response from Iran and its allies, potentially leading to a full-scale conflict. Hezbollah, despite the loss of its leader, remains a formidable force in Lebanon and could retaliate on behalf of Iran. Meanwhile, other Iranian-aligned militias in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen could be drawn into the conflict, further destabilizing the region.

At this point, it remains unclear whether Israel will indeed attempt to assassinate Khamenei. While the Israeli government has made no official statements on the matter, the recent actions and rhetoric coming from Tel Aviv suggest that such a move is not beyond the realm of possibility. If Israel were to carry out such an operation, it would be a dramatic escalation in its long-standing conflict with Iran, one that could have far-reaching consequences not only for the two countries but for the broader Middle East.

The assassination of Khamenei would likely spark outrage among Iran’s allies and could lead to a wave of retaliatory attacks against Israeli targets. It could also trigger a wider war involving multiple actors across the region. As Israel and Iran continue to engage in this high-stakes game of cat and mouse, the world watches with bated breath, knowing that the consequences of any misstep could be catastrophic.

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Hirok
Hirok

Written by Hirok

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